As the Democratic Primary race continues we’re starting to see more and more signs that the Clinton’s are on the ropes. With superdelegates being urged to vote against the public opinion by some of the Clinton’s richest backers to this new story that decries Hillary’s assertion that she can win the big states, it seems like public opinion is slowly turning against the Clinton’s. (Although I don’t really understand how ‘winning the big states’ is a viable platform message.)
Recent polls in California, the biggest state of them all as delegate votes go, show Obama not only with a substantial lead over Hillary & Co., but with a very commanding 9% lead over the Republican tool, John McCain.
It’s interesting to see how the sheer number of votes that have been cast for Obama in the primaries that have already been held would ensure him a trip to the White House if the elections have been the November General Elections rather than the primaries.
Obama stronger than Clinton in California, top-prize
by Mark Silva
Sen. Hillary Clinton’s argument for the Democratic presidential nomination includes a pitch that she can win the big states that Democrats need in November to amass at least 270 Electoral votes.
Yet a new poll in the biggest of all states – California – shows Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois stronger than Clinton among likely voters there – with Obama favored by 9 percentage points over Republican Sen. John McCain.
If the election were held today, California’s likely voters would favor Obama over McCain by 49 to 40 percent, according to the survey. A Clinton-McCain match-up is a virtual tie: 46 percent Clinton, 43 percent McCain.
In the mid-March survey by the Public Policy Institute of California, voters there view the Democratic Party as “more capable than the Republican Party on four key national issues”
Californians give Democrats a 32-point advantage in handling health care (59 percent Democratic Party to 27 percent Republican Party), a 13-point advantage in handling the economy (50 percent to 37 percent, a 10-point edge in handling the situation in Iraq (48 percent to 38 percent), and a 5-point edge in handling immigration (42 to 37).
Six in 10 likely voters (61 percent) say they have a favorable opinion of Obama. Nearly half have a favorable view of McCain (49 percent) and fewer say so about Clinton (45 percent.)
Most Democrats have a positive impression of Obama (78 percent) and Clinton (74 percent), the institute reports, and most Republicans have a favorable opinion of McCain (75 percent).
Among independent voters, more hold a favorable view of Obama (57 percent) than of McCain (47 percent) or of Clinton (35 percent).The survey of 2,002 Californians was conducted between March 11 and 18, with interviews conducted in English or Spanish. The possible margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points.
Posted by Mark Silva on March 27, 2008 9:45 AM | Permalink
[Thanks, Baltimore Sun]
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